Prediction of Samuel Heredia vs Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias at M15 Valledupar 11-04-25

Wojtek Kolan

Wojtek Kolan

Published on 04 Nov at 08:17 AM UTC

Heredia is scheduled to play Arias on 04 Nov Tue at 07:00 PM UTC in the M15 Valledupar, First round.

HEAD TO HEAD

S. Heredia vs N. Esteban Rico Arias

Samuel Heredia
Samuel Heredia

Flag COL COL

l
l
l
w
l
l
l
l
w
l
Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias
Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias

Flag COL COL

w
l
w
w
w
l
l
l
w
w

2

Win

2

Played

0

Win

19
Age
24
-
Height
-
896
C. Rank
0
857
Best Rank
0
0
Total Titles
0
0
YTD Titles
0
$0
Career Money
$0
-
Plays
-

S. Heredia Vs N. E. R. Arias Picks

Based on the implied probability from the match winner, Samuel Heredia has a 86.35% chance to get the victory.

Login / Register to find out our expert prediction.

To Win
MatchBookie
Prediction
Bookie
Odds
N. E. R. Arias
13.65%
7.08
S. Heredia
86.35%
1.12

Above is implied from odds. Login / Register to find out our expert predictions with edge / profit forecast.

Head-to-head: Heredia 2 - 0 Arias

They have played a total of four sets, all of which were won by Samuel Heredia, as Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias did not secure any wins. Their most recent encounter took place on the clay courts of the M15 Bucaramanga on July 16, 2025, during the second round, where Samuel Heredia defeated Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias with a score of 6-2, 6-1.

PlayersHead To Head Match Wins
Heredia2
Arias0
Last 2 H2H Matches:

(R2M15 Bucaramanga(07-16-25)

Clay
COL Flag
Samuel Heredia
6
6
COL Flag
Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias
2
1

(R1M25 Villavicencio(07-08-25)

Clay
COL Flag
Samuel Heredia
6
6
COL Flag
Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias
4
4

S. Heredia Vs N. E. R. Arias Best Odds

1x2
W2
1.12
W1
7.08

S. Heredia vs N. E. R. Arias H2H Profile

Stats
$0Career Prize Money$0
50.59% (43-42)Career Total W/L48.68% (37-39)
2Clay0
2Total H2H Matches0
0% (0-0)YTD Win/Loss0% (0-0)

S. Heredia vs N. E. R. Arias Match Preview:

  • Second Serve Performance: In recent months, Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias has secured 45.96% of points on his second serve, slightly outperforming Samuel Heredia, who has won 45.27%. Could this marginal advantage predict the match outcome?
  • Return Game Efficiency: Honing in on return stats, Heredia shows a stronger performance, claiming 44.80% of his opponent's second serve points compared to Arias's 41.50%. However, Arias edges out on first serve returns with 26.56% over Heredia’s 23.69%.
  • Pressure Situations: Heredia displays remarkable resilience under pressure, with a breakpoint saving rate of 62.74% against Arias's 51.61%, suggesting Heredia may be more composed in crucial moments.
  • Annual Match Win Rate: Over the past year, Arias has a winning record of 60.00% which surpasses Heredia's 48.89%. Could recent form give Arias an upper hand?
  • Surface Preference: Both players have identical success on Hard (54%) and Clay surfaces (44%), indicating neither player has a distinct surface edge.
  • Competition Level: Arias has a higher win rate of 62.07% compared to Heredia's 52.38% in similar tournament levels, showcasing potentially better performance against similarly ranked competitors.
  • Direct Head-to-Head: A significant note, Heredia has defeated Arias in both previous encounters, triumphing in all four sets played.
  • Deciding Set Record: Arias boasts a strong 75% success rate in deciding sets, markedly higher than Heredia’s 27%, indicating potential strength in closely contested matches.

Editorial Prediction (November 4, 2025, UTC):

With recent performance metrics closely matched, the upcoming clash between Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias and Samuel Heredia promises intrigue. Arias displays a slight edge in overall annual performance and particular success in deciding sets.

However, Heredia showcases superior return game efficiency and has a flawless record in their head-to-head history, winning both prior encounters without dropping a set.

Despite Arias's advantage in certain statistical areas, Heredia's unwavering record against him suggests a psychological edge. Considering these factors, Samuel Heredia is poised as the likely victor for this match based on historical and current data.

Samuel Heredia vs Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

S. Heredia vs N. E. R. Arias H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

Stats
2H2H Matches Won0
4Sets Won0
24Games Won11
14Aces (Total)3
5Total Double Faults6
1:21:46Average Match Time1:21:46
51% (49/97)1st Serve %55% (58/105)
84% (41/49)1st Serve Win %55% (32/58)
54% (26/48)2nd Serve Win %57% (27/47)
40% (6/15)Break Pts Won %25% (1/4)
44% (46/105)Return Points Win %31% (30/97)
100% (2/2)Best‑of‑3 Win %0% (0/2)
100% (2/2)1st Set Won, Won Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/2)1st Set Won, Lost Match0% (0/0)
0% (0/0)1st Set Lost, Won Match0% (0/2)

Recent Performance Stats

2nd Serve Win %: Heredia 48%, Arias 48%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Heredia 49%, Arias 50%.
Break Points Saved %: Heredia 64%, Arias 58%.

S. Heredia Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
ClayM15 Ibague - 27-10-2025

R2

COLJ. Sebastian
L
6-3 3-6 6-3

R1

PERA. Baltazar
W
6-2 6-2
ClayCali Challenger - 06-10-2025

R1

PERJ. Pablo
L
6-4 6-4
HardM25 Salvador - 29-09-2025

R1

BRAG. Albieri
L
4-6 7-6(3) 6-4
HardM25 Barueri - 22-09-2025

R1

BRAJ. Eduardo
L
7-6(3) 6-1

N. E. R. Arias Recent Matches Played

OPPONENTRESULTSCOREH2H
HardM15 Valledupar - 03-11-2025

Q3

USAF. Montana
W
1-6 6-0 10-2

Q1

COLC. Trujillo
W
6-3 3-0 ret.
ClayM15 Ibague - 27-10-2025

Q1

ARGV. Grippo
L
6-0 6-2
HardBarranquilla Challenger - 11-08-2025

Q1

USAB. Kuzuhara
L
6-2 6-1
ClayM15 Bucaramanga - 14-07-2025

R2

COLS. Heredia
L
6-2 6-1

Where To Watch Heredia vs Arias?

When the match starts we will have live scores and stats on this page. For live streaming at TV channels of this match, see our ATP and WTA worldwide viewing pages. Free trial live streaming of Heredia Vs Arias is now available here.

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S. Heredia vs N. E. R. Arias Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

Stats
56.52% (26/20)YTD Win/Loss54.29% (19/16)
58.65% (61/43)Sets Win/Loss53.33% (40/35)
53.35% (549/480)Games Win/Loss53.70% (348/300)
0.4Aces Per Game0.04
199Aces Total12
0.24Double Faults Per Game0.12
121Total Double Faults37
1:19:28Average Match Time1st Match
292.26Average Opponent Rank193.83
57% (1302/2283)1st Serve %58% (342/593)
71% (925/1302)1st Serve Win %58% (199/342)
47% (460/981)2nd Serve Win %40% (101/251)
35% (73/209)Break Points Won % (Total)47% (22/47)
37% (825/2228)Return Points Win %38% (202/528)
57% (26/46)Best of 3 Sets Win %54% (19/35)
41% (7/17)Tiebreaks Win % (Total)50% (1/2)
25% (3/12)Deciding Set Win %60% (3/5)
89% (27/24)1st Set Won, Won Match94% (18/17)
11% (27/3)1st Set Won, Lost Match6% (18/1)
11% (19/2)1st Set Lost, Won Match12% (17/2)

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