Samuel Heredia vs Nicolas Esteban Rico Arias Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Heredia outperforms Arias with a second serve point win rate of 44.25%, compared to Arias's 41.82%. How does this impact predictions? Strong second serves often correlate with winning matches.
• In return games, Arias shows an edge on second serve returns with a 47.17% success rate, slightly higher than Heredia's 46.31%. On first serve returns, Heredia has a slight advantage with 26.79% to Arias's 25.9%.
• Under pressure, Heredia has a better record, saving 57.58% of breakpoints, showcasing resilience compared to Arias's 52.17%.
• Over the past year, Arias leads in overall match victories, winning 66.67% compared to Heredia's 56.36%, reflecting more consistent performance.
• Both players have their best win percentages on Hard courts, with Heredia at 60% and Arias at 53%. Is there a notable consistency between players on this surface? Yes, but Heredia's win percentage suggests a slight edge.
• In the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K tournaments, Arias holds a higher win percentage at 66.67% compared to Heredia's 58%, indicating stronger competitiveness at this level.
• Head-to-head, Heredia has defeated Arias in their single encounter, winning 2-0 in sets.
• Although neither player has been pushed to a deciding set against each other, Arias has won 67% of all deciding sets against other players over the last 12 months, significantly higher than Heredia’s 39%.
• Averaging opponent ranks, Arias has faced tougher competition with average ranks of 121.11, compared to Heredia’s 236.22.
• When it comes to converting breakpoints, Arias has a slight edge with 32.35% compared to Heredia’s 31.06%, which might be crucial in pivotal moments.

Editorial Prediction (July 16, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Samuel Heredia and Arias presents an intriguing clash, with each player showcasing distinct strengths and weaknesses.

Heredia's superior second serve performance and ability to save breakpoints under pressure offer him tangible advantages. His win record on Hard surfaces further solidifies his competitive edge.

Arias, however, demonstrates a remarkable ability to face higher-ranked opponents and succeed in deciding sets. These factors contribute to a slightly unpredictable outcome.

Considering Heredia's past head-to-head success and robust pressure handling, he seems poised to win, yet Arias's capability to excel in challenging scenarios makes this match a tight contest.

The prediction leans toward Heredia prevailing, but Arias's resilience cannot be underestimated, hinting at possible surprises. Ultimately, Heredia is likely to come out on top given the current data.